Harry Hunch’s NFL Futures

Nothing like waiting until the last minute to get in all of your NFL future picks, that’s what I always say. As I mentioned yesterday I’m not that into betting the favorites when it comes to betting props. To me it’s all about low risk high reward. Betting 100 to win 150 is lame as shit. But betting $50 to win $1000, now that’s what butters my biscuit. 

giphy

Yeah I don’t know what the fuck you’re looking at either but I typed in “butter my biscuit” on giphy and that was literally the first thing that came up. And as a dog owner I figured why not, I’ll post whatever I can if I think it’ll bring me some luck. So without further adieu, my picks.

Without a doubt the player to win NFL MVP will be TODD GURLEY.

This might have been the easiest pick of all time and I’ll tell you why.

Since the year 2000 (As far as this blog is concerned I don’t care about any stat from a previous millenium) a running back has won the MVP every 6 years. Don’t believe your old pal Harry? How about Wikipedia?

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2000 Marshall Faulk, Saint Louis Ram (now the LA Rams)

2006 LaDanian Tomlinson, San Diego Charger (Now the LA Chargers)

2012 Adrian Peterson Minnesota Viking.

I’m no expert but according to Wikipedia 2 of the last 4 MVPs who were running backs played for an LA team. Bodes well for our boy. At first I was thinking maybe it would be Deandre Hopkins’ year, on a hunch. But then I remembered when Randy Moss had all those touchdowns it was Tom Brady who won MVP. And I don’t see the MVP going to Deshaun Watson mainly because I don’t see Houston being that good this year. And also when I first typed this blog I wrote Deshaun Watkins. If I can’t remember your name then you’re probably not winning MVP. Definitely has nothing to do with my lack of NFL knowledge. 

But the Rams. The Los Angeles Rams are one of the favorites to win the Superbowl. But then why is Todd Gurley +2960? Maybe it’s because everyone is so accustomed to QBs winning MVP they forgot about the fact that Rbs can win too. You’re telling me a $30 bet wins me $880? E.Z Muh Ney. And as you may recall, Todd Gurley fits my boy Jalb’s formula as well.

Other Futures I like:

Atlanta Falcons Over 9.5 wins.

Why? Because they were 1 play away from winning a superbowl 2 years ago if it wasn’t for a coaching error. And then last year they were getting adjusted to a new coaching staff so they weren’t good. Bounce back year for sure. Plus they play under a dome for half the season so that’s at least 8 wins right there. 

Saints over 9.5 wins.

Sure they’re in the same conference as the Falcons, but I saw a YouTube video of some fantasy expert saying the Saints got better on defense this year, and they were pretty great last year, so they can only go up, right?

Raiders Under 7 wins.

About a month ago my Twitter timeline was filled with “experts” saying they liked Raiders under 8.5 wins. And now that the Raiders lost Khalil Mack, and I’m fully convinced Gruden doesn’t know how modern day NFL works, I’m all in on this bet.

Finally. The team to win the Super Bowl will be the Carolina Panthers +3460. They were so close a few years ago to winning it all. Cam Newton finds ways to make things happen. Plus, like I said yesterday, a heavy favorite has never won a prop bet. I’ll be honest, I don’t really think they’re likely to win, then again I’m on a cold streak so at this point I’m second guessing every bet I place and trying to do the total opposite of what I think will actually happen so Panthers is the bet. Lock it down, and #ChalkItUp.

 

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